Makro in sektorske analize za podporo pri bolj premišljenem in utemeljenem sprejemanju odločitev.
Četrtletne analize
Četrtletni outlook in pregledi, ki osvetljujejo najpomembnejše makroekonomske, tržne in trende, ki poganjajo trg surovin.
Skupaj analiz
237
+3 v zadnjih 30 dneh
Nedavne analize
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Objavljeno v zadnjih 7 dneh
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Adria Region Macro Quarterly 3Q 2024 - Sustained growth and fiscal resilience ahead
The Adria region is expected to maintain solid GDP growth in 2024, driven by robust domestic consumption, rising wages, and infrastructure investments, particularly in Slovenia and Croatia. Events like Expo 2027 in Serbia will boost economic activities. Recovering external demand will also lift exports across the region. Fiscal policies in the Adria region will remain expansive in 2024, supporting public investments and social spending, but will gradually slow in 2025 due to fiscal consolidation. EU funds will be crucial for investments, especially in Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina.
14.06.2024.
Credit activity and interest rates - Credit stock to go up, interest rates on a crossroad
Credit activity trends are showing signs of recovery despite elevated interest rates. Although tighter monetary policies were implemented, their impact through the credit channel was limited. This was due to the excess liquidity within financial systems, which prevented a credit crunch and only caused a slight slowdown.
07.06.2024.
Commodity market - All eyes on FED
The commodities market in 2024 has been shaped by global factors, with varying performances among metals. Copper and aluminium have gained due to their roles in decarbonization and China's economic measures, while iron ore has declined due to China's real estate issues.
24.05.2024.
Equity, bonds and interest rates - Still some upside for equities, cloudier outlook for bonds and MM funds
In the Adria region, equity indices have seen consistent growth, driven by a strong economic expansion in most areas except for B&H, where indices are currently considered overvalued. This growth is largely attributed to increased sales and improved margins among listed companies. On the other hand, bond prices have experienced a year-to-date price drift in 2024, reflecting inflation volatility and the delay in implementing interest rate reductions.
17.05.2024.
Meat industry: Grilling the numbers – a deep dive into the industry trends and challenges
The Adria region is strongly dependent on meat imports. The average coverage ratio of meat in the region is only 25%. Slovenia leads the scale with 46% coverage in 2023, while the rest fall below, especially North Macedonia and B&H with only 10% coverage.
10.05.2024.
Foreign direct investments Adria region - FDIs to rebound in 2024
The Adria region has been successful in attracting foreign investments in the previous years, accounting for almost 10bln EUR in 2023, or twice as much compared to pre-pandemic 10y annual average. Favourable geographical position in Europe, development potential based on labour force availability and the increasing globalization and nearshoring have been the main factors behind the strong foreign investments.
26.04.2024.
Wind & solar industry report - Unlocking the Adria potential - harnessing untapped wind and solar energy
Renewable energy sources have recorded remarkable growth over the past decade, with wind and solar production capacities expanding at an annual compound rate of 13% and 26% (respectively) globally. In Adria region, in 2023, capacities reached 2.3GW for solar and 1.9GW for wind, which is by 687% and 455% (respectively) higher level than ten years ago. The expansion of solar and wind capacities was propelled by government measures, cheaper investments and attractive investment returns.
21.04.2024.
Carbon emissions - Long (and expensive) way to net zero
In this report, we focus on the EU system, known as the EU ETS (EU Emissions Trading System), which is the largest global system in terms of market value, accounting for approximately 87% of all traded carbon allowances in 2023. While Climate ETFs are already at 550 USDbn (30% of ESG ETFs), the current market value of carbon ETFs is around 1 USDbn (given the recent drop in carbon permits prices).
11.04.2024.
